(NEWS) Jay’s chances of winning KBS Music Bank on July 23rd?

KBS Music Bank‘s next showcase on the 23rd is a current source of interest for many Jay fans because an artist in not required to actively promote his or her single on the show in order to win, unlike another major Korean music program SBS Inkigayo. This means that with Jay’s admirable performance with regards to album sales, he may be able to earn his first win on a music program as a solo artist. The following is a post from Hanteo which predicts next week’s winner by estimating different components of the overall formula used to calculate Music Bank‘s scores.

Go under the cut for the estimated scores

Hanteo chart: Estimated Scores for July 23 Music Bank (excluding broadcast scores)

*Digital Singles Chart (online singles chart + mobile chart)*
1. “Bad Girl Good Girl” – Miss A (Online 3641 + Mobile 3488 = 7129)
2. “Hurt Like I’m Dying” – MC Mong (Online 2837 + Mobile 1757 = 4594)
3. “Queen” – Son Dambi (Online 3422 + Mobie 602 = 4030)
4. “I Need A Girl” – Taeyang (Online 2366 + Mobile 466 = 2832)
5. “Count On Me” – Park Jaebeom (Online 2275 + Mobile 258 = 2533)

*Album Sales (Standard: Hanteo chart, Reference: Hot Tracks/Shin Nara)*
1. “Count On Me” – Park Jaebeom (10074)
2. “I Need A Girl” – Taeyang (1322)
3. “Queen” – Son Dambi (345)
4. “Bad Girl Good Girl” – Miss A (317)
5. “Hurt Like I’m Dying” – MC Mong (105)

*Level of Preference (Referred to Music Bank’s history of level of preference)*
1. “Bad Girl Good Girl” – Miss A (500)
2. “Hurt Like I’m Dying” – MC Mong (400)
3. “I Need A Girl” – Taeyang (400)
4. “Queen” – Son Dambi (350)
5. “Count On Me” – Park Jaebeom (0)

*Estimated total points (excluding broadcast points) (digital singles + album sales + preference chart)*
1. “Count On Me” – Park Jaebeom (2533 + 10074 + 0 = 12607)
2. “Bad Girl Good Girl” – Miss A (7129 + 317 + 500 = 7946)
3. “Hurt Like I’m Dying” – MC Mong (4594 + 105 + 400 = 5099)
4. “Queen” – Son Dambi (4030 + 345 + 350 = 4725)
5. “I Need A Girl” – Taeyang (2832 + 1322 + 400 = 4554)

@@ Park Jaebeom is confirmed to be awarded.
@@ If Jaebeom’s song is excluded by Music Bank, Miss A’s “Bad Girl Good Girl” is most likely to win their first award as a rookie. (Almost confirmed to be awarded.)

SOURCE: HANTEO BOARD; TRANSLATION: Lydia@JAYPARK.NET